Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000114 0.000121 0.000128 0.000136 0.000145 0.000156
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000176
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000101 0.000112 0.000127 0.000144 0.000165 0.000193
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000097 0.000111 0.000127 0.000149 0.000176 0.000213
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000095 0.000110 0.000129 0.000155 0.000188 0.000238
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000091 0.000106 0.000127 0.000154 0.000192 0.000250
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000086 0.000102 0.000122 0.000151 0.000191 0.000255
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000083 0.000098 0.000119 0.000150 0.000192 0.000263
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000114 0.000144 0.000188 0.000261
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000077 0.000092 0.000115 0.000147 0.000196 0.000281
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000076 0.000093 0.000117 0.000152 0.000207 0.000308
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000076 0.000093 0.000118 0.000156 0.000217 0.000334
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000075 0.000093 0.000120 0.000163 0.000232 0.000375
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000073 0.000091 0.000119 0.000163 0.000238 0.000399
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089 0.000117 0.000163 0.000242 0.000419
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000070 0.000089 0.000118 0.000166 0.000253 0.000459
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000070 0.000089 0.000120 0.000172 0.000269 0.000516
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000068 0.000087 0.000117 0.000170 0.000270 0.000534
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000065 0.000084 0.000113 0.000165 0.000265 0.000533
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000063 0.000081 0.000111 0.000162 0.000263 0.000542
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000106 0.000156 0.000253 0.000522
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000077 0.000107 0.000159 0.000263 0.000572
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000108 0.000164 0.000279 0.000647